The Daily
SMART
Money Brief

Most traders watch the scoreboard. We analyze the game. Retail traders obsess over price and news headlines. Institutional investors ("Smart Money") ignore the noise and track the structural forces that actually move markets.

Our daily AI model tracks three specific institutional signals to give you a probability edge every morning.

1. The Sentiment Check (The Contrarian Signal)

• What it is: The Put/Call Ratio.

• Why we watch it: Retail traders often get it wrong at the extremes. When the crowd is "Greedy" (buying calls), institutions sell. When the crowd is "Fearful" (buying puts), institutions buy. We use this data to help you trade with the house, not against it.

2. The "Gravity" Check (10-Year Yields)

• What it is: The 10-Year US Treasury Yield ($TNX).

• The Institutional Secret: This is the most critical number on Wall Street, yet most retail traders ignore it.

  • Valuation Models: Hedge funds use this rate to calculate the "fair value" of stocks. When yields spike, their algorithms automatically re-rate stocks lower.

  • The "TINA" Shift: When yields rise, billions of dollars rotate out of risky stocks and into guaranteed bonds.

  • The Bottom Line: Yields act like gravity. If you don't know which way gravity is pulling, you can't predict which way stocks will fall.

3. Sector Rotation (The "Smart Money" Footprints)

• What it is: Relative performance of Defensive (e.g., Utilities) vs. Offensive (e.g., Tech) sectors.

• Why we watch it: Big money doesn't panic sell; it rotates. Before a market drop, institutions often quietly move money into "safe" sectors while the indices are still flat. We track this rotation to spot the storm before it hits.